UK factory growth hits three-month low, but eurozone booms – business live

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All the day’s economic and financial news, including new manufacturing reports from around the world


12.15pm BST

Sterling continues to drop, as traders digest this morning’s PMI data.

The pound has now shed 0.7 of a cent against the US dollar, to $1.2955, wiping out Friday’s rally.

The UK’s manufacturing sector activity reading fell to 54.3 in June, marking its slowest pace of growth in three months.

This disappointing report has dealt another blow to sentiment and is likely to add to the horrible cocktail of soft economic releases which is slowly illustrating the impact of Brexit.

11.57am BST

This chart shows how City economists had expected British factory activity to have been much stronger in June.

Many had expected a PMI in the 56-ish region, not as low as 54.3.

Big miss on the UK Manufacturing PMI. Nobody saw it that low.

11.39am BST

Although UK manufacturing is obviously important, it only makes up around 10% of Britain’s economy.

On Wednesday, we find out how the dominant service sector fared in June. This morning’s disappointing factory data may be a sign that service companies also struggled, says Andy Bruce of Reuters:

UK manufacturing PMI drops 2 points in June.

Falls that big are followed up by a drop in the services PMI 66% of the time.

11.06am BST

Howard Archer, Chief Economic Advisor to the EY ITEM Club, says the slowdown in UK factory expansion last month is “disappointing”, particularly as export growth slowed.

“The survey indicates that not only did output slow in June, but the sector is entering the third quarter with reduced momentum with new orders at an 11-month low. This was primarily due to weaker domestic demand, but it is disappointing to see that export orders slowed.

Furthermore, the slowdown in manufacturing activity is reported across all sectors – consumer, intermediate and investment goods. Backlogs of work fell in June which also points to weaker activity going forward. Additionally, confidence among manufacturers dipped to a seven-month low in June, although it was still decent, and employment growth slowed.

“The foot unexpectedly came off the accelerator last month suggesting that manufacturers’ attention was in part drawn to grappling with the uncertainty from both the general election and the start of Brexit negotiations.

Encouragingly, production levels are still in positive territory but growth slowed to its lowest rate for three months and most disappointingly, given the weakness in sterling, was the slowdown in new export business.

10.30am BST

In another boost for Europe, the jobless rate across the eurozone remains at its lowest level since the financial crisis began.

Unemployment in the single currency region was 9.3% in May, matching April’s figure, and the lowest since March 2009.

May 2017: euro area unemployment rate stable at 9.3%, EU at 7.8% #Eurostat

10.11am BST

City experts are disappointed to see that Britain’s manufacturing growth has dipped to a three-month low in June:

Duncan Brock, director of customer relationships at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply, says political anxiety is hurting the sector:

“Manufacturing activity showed signs of slowing this month, as fears that the sector would feel the impact of both the election and the start of Brexit talks materialised.

“While the sector remained in growth, a softening of new orders suggested some hesitancy from the UK to commit to new projects, which will be a worry as the domestic market has been the main driver of growth in the past two months. Apart from some orders from the US and Western Europe, exports fared little better as a continuing weak, but stable pound began to lose some of its allure.

“The PMI figures show a drop in confidence this month as manufacturers grappled with the general election result and uncertainty arising from our negotiations to exit the EU.

“But manufacturers are resilient. They have a keen eye on margins and are taking steps to future-proof their business. Many are stockpiling and investing to win contracts, while others are boosting their export order books.

“The UK’s manufacturing sector is still growing but the pressures that have become almost de rigeur in UK economic data are still very much present.

New business growth has slowed which is limiting the increase in new employment in the sector, confidence has slipped to a 7 month low and while price pressures are easing, supply lines are becoming stretched and are therefore slowing, extending the time taken on projects.

While rest of the EU outperforms the UK economy it will make Brexit negotiations easier- EU can claim costs for UK. Reversal would be tricky

10.08am BST

It’s not all bad news for the UK. Factory growth over the last quarter is the strongest since 2014, despite the slowdown in June.

Ave UK manufacturing #PMI output index in Q2 was highest for 3 years & signals production rising 0.5%, but growth slowed in June

9.56am BST

Sterling has fallen by half a cent, following the news that UK factory growth was weaker than expected last month.

The pound is now trading at $1.297, away from the six-week highs struck last week.

9.38am BST

Breaking: Britain’s manufacturing growth slowed last month, as UK factories failed to keep pace with their rivals across the channel.

The UK manufacturing PMI has dropped to 54.3 in June, well below expectations of a reading of 56.5. This is the slowest growth in three months.

“New business rose at the weakest pace for nearly a year and growth was down sharply from April’s near three-year high. This slowdown was largely centred on the domestic market, where increased business uncertainty appears to have led to some delays in placing new contracts.

“Export orders remained disappointingly lacklustre despite the ongoing competitiveness boost of the weak sterling exchange rate.

9.30am BST

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9.25am BST

Stand by your desks! UK manufacturing PMI is due at 9:30 am Fingers crossed… #GBP #BoE

9.20am BST

It’s official — the eurozone’s factory sector is growing at its fastest rate in over six years.

The boom in Germany, and solid expansion in France, Italy and Spain have all helped to deliver the fastest expansion since 2011.

“Eurozone manufacturing growth gained further momentum in June, rounding off the best quarter for just over six years. At current levels, the PMI is indicative of factory output growing at an annual rate of some 5%, which in turn indicates the goods- producing sector will have made a strong positive contribution to second quarter economic growth.

“Exports continue to play a major role in driving the expansion, increasing in recent months at rates not seen for six years, buoyed in part by the weak euro. But it’s also clear that factories are benefitting from ongoing strong demand from domestic customers.

“There’s no sign of the impressive performance ending any time soon. Optimism about the year ahead has risen to the highest for at least five years, backlogs of orders are building up at the fastest rate for over seven years and factories are reporting near-record hiring as they struggle to deal with the upturn in demand. As such, the manufacturing sector is clearly in expansion mode and looks poised for continued robust growth in coming months.”

9.16am BST

Newsflash: Eurozone manufacturing growth has hit a new six-year high.

9.08am BST

More good news! Greece’s factory sector has returned to growth for the first time since last summer.

Do not adjust your sets: Greek manufacturing PMI is in *growth* again. First time in nearly a year. Overall eurozone at April 2011-high

9.06am BST

Boom! German factory growth has hit a 74-month high.

Germany’s manufacturing PMI, which measures activity across the sector has risen to 59.6 in June, up from 59.5 in May.

“Although output growth held broadly steady and job creation eased slightly since May, the expansion in new orders accelerated further. Suppliers remained under intense pressure with input delivery times lengthening to the greatest extent since April 2011.

“Input price inflation slowed for the second month running to the weakest since November 2016, but remained stronger than the 21-year survey trend level. Output prices increased at the sharpest rate since February.”

8.55am BST

France’s factories have posted another month of solid growth too, as demand and business confidence rose.

The French manufacturing PMI has jumped to 54.8 in June, from 53.8 in May – that shows a faster expansion, but not quite as pacy as expected.


“A strong degree of business optimism was also a key feature of the latest survey, perhaps buoyed by reduced political uncertainty following the conclusion to June’s legislative elections and robust economic conditions in the Eurozone.”

8.51am BST

Just in…Italy’s factory sector picked up last month, thanks to a surge of new orders.

Italian Manufacturing PMI: 55.2 vs exp 55.3; prev 55.1

A strong end to the quarter with a pickup seen in output & exports

8.50am BST

European stock markets are rallying this morning, helped by the pickup in Chinese factory growth last month.

The main indices have all risen in early trading. London’s FTSE 100 has jumped by 42 points, or 0.6%, to 7355.

It’s manufacturing Monday, and with China’s Caixin PMI just about climbing out of contraction territory the European indices got off to a strong start.

Having neared 2 month lows last Friday there was plenty of room for the FTSE to bounce back this morning and bounce back it did, rising more than half a percent to sit just below 7350. The thrust of the UK index’s growth stemmed from the commodity sector, itself boosted by the latest 0.5% jump from Brent Crude, the black stuff now trading at $49 per barrel for the first time in around a month.

8.32am BST

Breaking: Spain’s factory data has missed forecasts, but still shows solid expansion.

The Spanish manufacturing PMI has come in at 54.7, down from May’s 55.4.

“June saw a continuation of the recent strong performance of the Spanish manufacturing sector, with growth remaining elevated. The first half of the year has been impressive, with no real sign among the latest data that rates of expansion are running out of steam heading into the second half.

“One thing that is on the wane is inflation, with both input costs and output prices rising at the weakest rates since late-2016. This should help firms maintain competitive pricing, enabling them to take advantage of improving customer demand.”

Spanish manuf PMI headline index down but sill no sign of cooling. Output, new orders up; employment at near-record high.

8.28am BST

The Russian PMI is a worry.

Growth in Russia’s manufacturing sector almost fizzled out last month, with its PMI dropping to an 11-month low of 50.3, from May’s 52.4.

8.17am BST

Norway’s manufacturing base just posted its strongest growth in five years, according to its PMI report:

Manufacturing #PMI reaching the highest level since March 2012 => fine details => points to further acceleration in manufacturing!

tEconomics: #Sweden Swedbank Manufacturing PMI at 62.4

$SEK: Swedish PMI better than expected, helped not only by a robust macro momentum in Europe, but also by delayed krona weakness

8.11am BST

Other Asian countries have followed China’s lead, and reported manufacturing growth last month.

Reuters has the details:

Factory Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for South Korea, Japan,Taiwan Vietnam and India all remained above the 50-mark that separates contraction from expansion on a monthly basis.

And all of these indexes, except for Japan and India, rose from the previous month, indicating an acceleration in expansion.

8.04am BST

Metal prices have jumped this morning, following the news that Chinese factories returned to growth last month. Aluminium and copper are both rallying.

$DBB BASE METALS: Aluminum Extends Rally as China PMI Beats Estimates$HG_F #copper #aluminium

8.00am BST

China got PMI Day off to a decent start, by reporting its fastest factory growth in three months.

“The manufacturing sector recovered slightly in June, but based on the inventory trends and confidence around future output, the June reading was more like a temporary rebound, with an economic downtrend likely to be confirmed later.”

7.45am BST

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

We’re getting a healthcheck on the world’s factories today, as data firms release their monthly Purchasing Managers Index reports.

Happy PMI day!

With more hawkish noises coming from certain quarters of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee in recent days, markets are likely to be especially sensitive to the PMI surveys this month.

As they were conducted mid-month in June, it should be expected that the results incorporate businesses’ views about the impact of the indecisive general election result on 8 June.

Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone, UK and US mfg PMIs, US ISM and construction spending.

Continue reading…
Source: china
Link : UK factory growth hits three-month low, but eurozone booms – business live


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